Tier 3 · 1× Quiet

Stablecoin de-peg

Stablecoin de-peg is Tier 3, prior 0.05, status quiet. CoinGecko on 2026-06-08 showed tether usd 0.999263 and USDC 0.999752. DefiLlama on 2026-06-08 showed Tether USDT price 0.9992537150899073 and USD Coin USDC price 0.999694402830099. The cited prints keep the configuration in quiet status.

Current probability
5%/ 100
12-MONTH FORWARD HORIZON
Threshold
USDT < $0.97 for > 1 hour
Tier weight
P range
0–20%
Last update
16:32 UTC
Current prob
5%
current
Status
Quiet
·
Tier
Tier 3
weight 1×
P min
0%
floor
P max
20%
ceiling
Updated
16:32 UTC
live
Threshold definition

USDT < $0.97 for > 1 hour

Stablecoin de-peg is Tier 3, prior 0.05, status quiet. CoinGecko on 2026-06-08 showed tether usd 0.999263 and USDC 0.999752. DefiLlama on 2026-06-08 showed Tether USDT price 0.9992537150899073 and USD Coin USDC price 0.999694402830099. The cited prints keep the configuration in quiet status.

Recent evidence